United States intelligence estimates that Iran maintains an arsenal of up to 2,500 missiles despite damage sustained during the war. A report published on Tuesday says the findings challenge assertions by US President Donald Trump that Tehran’s military capabilities have been largely destroyed.
Citing US officials, the report stated that the assessment suggests Iran still possesses a substantial missile stockpile capable of threatening American and allied targets if fighting resumes.
Officials cautioned that the assessment carries a low level of confidence. This uncertainty stems from difficulties in determining precisely how many missiles are ready for launch versus how many remain in storage.
Despite retaining a large inventory, the rebuilding process has proceeded at a slower pace than before the conflict. Tehran also keeps significant numbers of drones and short-range missiles to strike targets across the region.
Meanwhile, Israeli military officials estimate that Iran possesses more than 1,500 ballistic missiles, though regional assessments differ. Simone Ledeen, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East, said even the lower estimate suggests Iran has restored more than half of its prewar missile arsenal.
The report added that Iranian missile and drone attacks have continued to expose vulnerabilities in US military installations, radar systems, and early-warning infrastructure across the Middle East.
Washington has so far opted to maintain economic pressure on Tehran through sanctions and a blockade rather than launch another major military offensive.
Gulf allies have warned against renewed fighting over fears of retaliatory Iranian strikes. Israel continues to push for further military action, according to the report.
